How Long Can The Goldilocks Market Last? | Weekly Roundup

Forward Guidance

This week we discuss the small cap trade, the upcoming Fed decision, and whether inflation risks are overblown. We also delve into China’s balance sheet recession, Bitcoin & MicroStrategy, housing affordability, and much more. Enjoy!

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(03:31) Small Business Optimism & Trump Trades

(07:58) Mag7 Blow Off Top?

(09:42) Unwind In Momentum Factor

(11:18) China Balance Sheet Recession

(13:34) Small Caps, Liquidity, & The Dollar

(15:30) Dovish Fed

(16:51) Labor Market & Claims

(21:38) Fed Policy & Global Easing

(26:00) Rate Steepening

(27:13) Ads

(29:15) Trump Peace Dividend

(32:51) Inflation & CPI

(36:22) Continuing Goldilocks

(39:52) Bitcoin

(43:50) MicroStrategy & Convert Financing

(50:53) Vol Controllers

(53:48) Geopolitics

(55:23) Cash Bubble

(57:07) New Credit Cycle

(59:17) Housing Affordability

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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.