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The Macro Trading Floor

Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly

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The Macro Trading Floor is a fun and actionable macro and markets podcast hosted by Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly. If you are looking for banter, financial education, and actionable trade ideas this is the podcast for you!
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Welcome to ReSolve Riffs Investment Podcast, hosted by the team at ReSolve Global*, where evidence inspires confidence. These podcasts will dig deep to uncover investment truths and life hacks you won’t find in the mainstream media, covering topics that appeal to left-brained robots, right-brained poets and everyone in between. In this show we interview deep thinkers in the world of quantitative finance such as Larry Swedroe, Meb Faber and many more, all with the goal of helping you reach ex ...
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Market Champions

Srivatsan Prakash

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Thank you for tuning in! This podcast is about being able to successfully navigate the markets with some of the most successful people in the industry! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Alf and Brent discuss recent developments in macro and labor market data, and debate whether the Fed will cut by 25 or 50 bps in September. Is the bond market overestimating the amount of upcoming cuts, or economic weakness will require the Fed to cut rates even more aggressively? They then move to investigate how long-term investing bias can negat…
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In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss how cross-asset pricing in bonds, FX and equity markets has rapidly changed in August and compare it with the hard economic reality: are there opportunities to be exploited? They then make a deep dive on the US Dollar, and finally cover a crucial trading framework topic: when and how to use options instead of …
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Alf and Brent reflect on the immense volatility hitting markets recently, and specifically on the unwind of carry trades: are we done here or is there more to come? Most importantly, they describe how to design and apply a risk management and position sizing framework so that when everybody panics you don't need to. Want to reach out to Alf? Ping A…
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Alf and Brent reflect on the massive bond market rally and the explosive move in the Japanese Yen - what’s next for macro? To contact Alf: send him an email at info@palinurocapital.com or contact him on Bloomberg (Alfonso Peccatiello) To contact Brent: ping him on Bloomberg (Brent Donnelly) or go on http://www.spectramarkets.com/ Brent’s piece on p…
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This week, Alf and Brent discuss the brutal equity market sell-off: is it due to macro tectonic shifts, a reassessment of political risks or an unwind of crowded trades? The duo digs deep trying to connect the dots, and they also discuss a trading framework around this large volatility events.Por Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly
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In this episode, the ReSolve team chats with Ben Reeves, a seasoned financial professional with a wealth of experience in portfolio construction and investment strategies. Ben shares his journey from working at Bridgewater to facing a health crisis, and eventually joining Wealthsimple. The conversation delves into the intricacies of allocation rese…
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Alf and Brent look into various ''Trump trades'' now that the odds of a Trump election and Republican sweep have increased: is there still juice left? And where? Specifically, they also reflect on the use of options as macro traders. Want to see Alf's Cheap Optionality Monitor? Ping him (Alfonso Peccatiello) on Bloomberg And take advantage of Brent…
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Alf and Brent discuss the interesting market reaction to the weak US CPI report, and they dig deep into the '''Trump trade'': how would you trade a Trump victory and why? They also talk about the US Dollar and bond markets. Want to chat with Alf on Bloomberg? Ping him (Alfonso Peccatiello) You can find Brent's work on Spectra Markets or ping him on…
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In this episode, Alf invites Cem Karsan to discuss what's going on in option markets. Cem does a great job at explaining what's the dispersion trade, how big it has become, and how it might unwind wreaking havoc across asset classes. Alf and Cem also discuss macro and how to use options to structure good risk/reward trade ideas. Visit Cem's website…
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A big macro week is behind us: the combination of CPI and PPI releases provide us with solid information on where the disinflation trend stands. Alf and Brent also discuss Powell’s press conference + change in dots and the European political risks. Want to get in touch with Alf or Brent? Ping Alfonso Peccatiello on Bloomberg Ping Brent Donnelly on …
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In this episode, Alfonso Peccatiello, a renowned macro investor, joins the ReSolve team to delve into the macro end game, the impact of leverage on the financial system, and the potential paths forward. They also discuss the role of politicians in managing fiscal interventions and the increasing volatility in the macro environment. Topics Discussed…
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Alf and Brent discuss the ECB and Bank of Canada cuts, and reflect on the big bond market moves seen recently coupled with carry trade implosions. The discussion focuses around risk management principles to prevent bad left tail outcomes when running carry trades, and how to identify positive expected value trades in macro. Alf is offering a 2-week…
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In this episode, ReSolve team members Adam Butler and Rodrigo Gordillo discuss the concept of market volatility and its implications for investment strategies. They delve into the intricacies of Carry strategies, their impact on portfolio returns, and how to navigate market volatility effectively. Topics Discussed • The concept of Carry in the inve…
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Free Trial to Alf's Institutional Research? Ping Alfonso Peccatiello on Bloomberg for more info! In this podcast, Alf invites Peter Farac (aka @countdraghula on Twitter) to the show. Peter brings a wealth of experience running money and has specific skills in rates and vol markets. Alf and Peter discuss where the US business cycle actually is, how …
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In this episode, we have an engaging conversation with Roger King, the mastermind behind the successful Supplement King franchise. Roger shares his journey from starting as a local supplement provider to becoming a renowned name in the industry. He discusses his business strategies, the importance of understanding the market, and the challenges he …
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Want to meet Alf and Brent in person?! Fill in this 30-second survey so we can make this happen: https://www.eSurveysPro.com/Survey.aspx?id=ad4fe049-95b7-40ef-a46b-f1bdc509b256 In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss how markets are becoming quickly complacent with realized and implied volatility collapsing across asset classes. The only surprises a…
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In this episode, we delve into the world of value investing with Tobias Carlisle, the founder of The Acquirer's Multiple and author of the book 'The Acquirer's Multiple'. From his journey from a lawyer in Australia to a value funds manager in California, to his unique approach towards value investing, this conversation is a treasure trove of insigh…
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(Links mentioned in the podcast are in the show notes below: check them out!) Alf and Brent discuss the soft patch the US seems to be going through and the CPI number released this week. If markets are going to continue with this low-vol grind higher, how do you trade macro now? Also, China seems to be cooking something big this time. - Contact me …
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The Bank of England pre-announced a rate cut in June, the Swedish Riksbank cut interest rates, and there are a few early signs of weakness emerging in the US as well. Is the market ready for a regime switch? Alf and Brent also discuss how they approach trading into volatile events, breaking long-term correlation, and the structural USD strength. Li…
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Descrizione: Nominal growth is showing some early signs of fatigue, while economists' expectations remain elevated and market pricing still quite hawkish. Alf and Brent discuss potential opportunities arising from this setup, and spend time arguing whether Powell just announced a new Fed Put this week. Link to Brent's favorite podcast this week: ht…
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In today’s ReSolve Riffs we’re taking the opportunity to introduce the inaugural episode of a brand new podcast channel called the Get Stacked Investment Podcast. In this series, we dive deep into the world of Return Stacking, exploring the latest projects, content, and insights from the www.returnstacked.com website. Co-hosted by Corey Hosteen, CI…
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In this episode, the ReSolve team is joined by Jared Dillian, the editor of The Daily Dirtnap and author of the book No Worries: How to Live a Stress-Free Financial Life. They delve into a variety of topics, including the power of diversification, the importance of understanding financial stress, and the current state of global financial markets. T…
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US Q1 Real GDP printed below expectations but still at a respectable 1.6%, and core inflation was hotter than analysts forecast: more fuel on the fire of the reflation theme? Alf and Brent present a contrarian macro thesis instead, and also discuss the odds of a Chinese devaluation and more. Finally, they talk about the pros/cons of using stop loss…
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In this episode, Andy Constan, a veteran Wall Street professional, joins the ReSolve team to discuss the intricacies of the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies, the impact of long-term borrowing rates on the economy, and the role of financial advisors in the investment industry. They delve into a wide array of topics, shedding light on the com…
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The Fed is all of a sudden opening up to the possibility of hikes: what now? But most importantly: have you ever thought about the possibility of Fed hikes being stimulative? And finally: do you have any idea why every Central Bank in the world is targeting exactly 2% for inflation? Alf and Brent discuss this and much more in today's episode - have…
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Introduction In this episode, we are thrilled to have Jeff Weniger, the Chief U.S. Strategist for WisdomTree ETFs, back on the show. Jeff shares his insights on a range of topics, including the 'pension wars' concept, the potential for a domino effect in global equity markets, and the role of financial engineering in shaping investment strategies. …
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This week Alf and Brent discuss how markets seem to be on the lookout for a release valve for the combination of a Fed talking about cuts while nominal growth doesn't call for them: commodiites, bond markets, and the US Dollar seem to be all brewing under the surface. But what will actually break markets?…
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Markets are in reflation mode with commodities getting bid all over the place: not only gold and crude oil, but also silver, copper, zinc, you name it. Also, the US Dollar is showing signs of topping and it all starts to closely remind one of the most volatile macro periods ever. So: what's the next big trade? Find out in the show!…
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Alf welcomes back Brent to the show, and the co-host duo discusses macro data, Fed's Waller speech, Japan and China. But most importantly they share thoughts and observations about the current low volatility market regime, how to approach it trying to avoid the most common macro traders' mistakes, and how to think of risk/reward when looking at ins…
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In this episode, the ReSolve team is joined by Jason Buck, co-founder and CIO of Mutiny Funds, to delve into a range of topics, from the concept of ergodicity, portfolio construction, and the importance of diversification in investing. They also discuss the intricacies of the capital efficiency and tax implications of various investment strategies.…
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This week Alf welcomes Dario Perkins to the show. Dario discusses how we got here with much more benign inflationary dynamics without a big damage to labor markets - hint: Central Bankers were lucky more than skilled. Dario and Alf discuss the path ahead for economies and monetary policy, and a trade idea. Alf opens and closes the show with his tho…
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In this episode, the team riffs with Doomberg, a renowned energy analyst, to discuss a range of issues from the global energy landscape to geopolitical tensions and the changing nature of warfare. The conversation also delves into the intricacies of the global natural gas market, the impact of sanctions on Russia, and the potential future of nuclea…
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The bond market is waking up to the idea that inflation might be a bit stickier and the Fed's hands are tied. Alf and Brent discuss what this implies for global macro asset classes, and highlight a few trade ideas. Sign up for the free waiting list for Brent's upcoming Spectra School course: https://www.spectramarkets.com/school/…
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In this episode, we are joined by Jack Shannon, Senior Analyst at Morningstar, to discuss the dynamics of active equity management, portfolio construction, and the importance of downside protection in long-term investment success. Jack shares his insights on various topics, including: Topics Discussed • The asymmetry of returns and the importance o…
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Alf and Brent discuss how animal spirits seem to be running loose in several asset classes. Signs are evident not only in stocks but also in gold, Bitcoin and option markets. They also focus on Japan and the potential tectonic shifts in the Bank of Japan monetary policy stance.Por Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly
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In this episode, the ReSolve team is joined by Fred Pye, Founder of 3iQ Digital Assets, to discuss the rapidly evolving landscape of digital assets and blockchain technology. They delve into various topics, including the rise of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the future of the digital asset space. Topics Discussed •The transition of the financial world tow…
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Alf and Brent discuss the outlook for the US economy, and how bond markets have adjusted their pricing to reflect the odds of a soft landing. Is there a trade maybe? They then move their focus to Canada, Europe, New Zealand, China: a tour around the world searching for macro opportunities. Two trade ideas and the most useful/stupidest thing they he…
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In this episode, the RAM Crew dives deep into the intricacies of monetary policy, inflation, and the impact of these factors on the global economy. They discuss the complexities of inflation, the role of the Federal Reserve, and the potential future of the financial landscape. Topics Discussed • Discussion on the shift in monetary policy and its im…
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In this discussion, the ReSolve team is joined by David Sun, a retail investor turned hedge fund manager with a background in engineering. David shares his journey from options trading during grad school to launching two private options-based hedge funds. He discusses the intricacies of options trading, the importance of risk management, and the ev…
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In this episode, Adam Butler and Mike Philbrick of ReSolve Asset Management have an in-depth conversation with Chris Schindler, a seasoned investment professional. They delve into a range of topics, from the intricacies of investing in tech and the dynamics of the credit market, to the complexities of portfolio construction and the impact of market…
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In this episode, we delve into a comprehensive discussion with Julian Brigden, a renowned global macro strategist. Brigden shares his insights on the current state of the US equity market, the economic implications of the Goldilocks narrative, the potential risks of the bond market, and the future of global economies like the UK, Europe, and Japan.…
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In this episode, we have the pleasure of hosting James A. Bianco, Founder of Bianco Research Advisors. Bianco shares his insights on a wide range of topics, from his macroeconomic framework to the impact of inflation on the global economy. This conversation also delves into the implications of the current political and military climate outside the …
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In this informative episode, we dive deep into a conversation with Chris Kennedy from Bridge Alternatives about his career, investment strategies, and perspectives on managed futures. We take a detailed look at model complexity, the necessity of balance in trading, the impact of trend intimacy, and the challenges of creating efficient investment re…
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Join the ReSolve Crew on an exciting tour inside the Strategic Wealth Preservation Vault in the Cayman Islands. With SWP's Mark Yaxley as their host, they discuss the unique properties of gold as a wealth insurance and its long history as a trusted asset across cultures and borders, and why it should be a part of a diversified portfolio. Built arou…
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In this episode, the ReSolve team is joined by Meb Faber, Co-founder and CIO of Cambria Investment Management, to discuss a range of topics from the Leuthold report, international diversification, T-bills, shareholder yield, to forecasting returns and diversification. This episode provides valuable insights into different aspects of investing, maki…
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In this episode, the ReSolve team sits down with William Santor, a seasoned financier and producer. They delve into a variety of topics, from Santor's unexpected journey from ballroom dancing to finance, to his innovative approach to the film industry, and the role of AI in content discovery. Topics Discussed • William Santor's unique journey from …
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Investment Mastery: Risk Parity, Portfolio Construction, and Systematic Investment Strategies for the everyday investor. In this video, Rodrigo Gordillo, President & Portfolio Manager of ReSolve Asset Management Global does a review of a 2020 interview with veteran portfolio manager and ex Toronto Teachers Pension Plan Managing Director, Chris Schi…
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In this discussion, the ReSolve team is joined by Alfonso Peccatiello, financial analyst, to discuss the current state of the economy, the impact of Biden's stimulus, and the intricacies of investing in the current financial landscape. They delve into a wide range of topics, providing valuable insights for anyone interested in understanding the com…
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In this conversation, the ReSolve team is joined by Joe Kelly from Campbell and Company to delve into the world of quantitative investing, managed futures, and derivatives trading. They explore a wide range of topics, including: Topics Discussed • The history and evolution of the hedge fund industry and the growth of systematic investing • The role…
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